Reminder: North American turned back the clocks on the weekend

Hope everyone is well-rested
New York is back to being five hours behind London and GMT. The North American is light today, so there is plenty of time to ease into the new arrangement.

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Betting against bonds swallows another trade

Barclays ends short-bund recommendation
On October 19, analysts at Barclays recommended shorting German 10-year bunds. It was a bet that yields would rise on the ECB taper.

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Arrests threaten major turmoil in Saudi Arabia

Arrests include one of the world’s richest men
Prince Alwaleed bin Talal, plus at least 10 other princes, four ministers and many former ministers were arrested Saturday night.

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Another change coming at the Fed: Dudley to retire

NY Fed President to retire next year
New York Fed President Bill Dudley could announce his retirement as soon as next week, .
according to CNBC
The 65-year-old will stay on until spring or summer when his replacement is found.

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For Trump, the stock market is a scorecard for the Fed

Trump really cares about stock prices
Approval ratings might not matter to President Trump but the stock market does.
Trump constantly tweets about record highs in the Dow but it’s not just political spin, he really cares about equity prices.

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Despite all the news today, the pound was still the story

The Bank of England decision launched the biggest move
The commodity currencies took advantage of the dovish hike from the Bank of England and uncertainty about the tax plan.

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Jerome Powell nominated as Federal Reserve Chairman

Trump nominates Powell, as expected
Powell will be the next Fed leader, replacing Janet Yellen on Feb 3.
Trump says he will lead the ‘independent’ central bank.

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Fed’s Dudley: Secured overnight funding rate better than Libor

Dudley speaks at the Alternative Reference Rates Roundtable
– Goal is to shift from Libor with the least pain possible
– We’re maybe halfway through the process of shifting out of Libor
No comments on monetary policy but he might take questions later.

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Hedge fund titan Robert Mercer to quit on January 1

Renaissance Technologies leader to step down – report
Robert Mercer and the team at Renaissance are possibly the greatest investors alive. They were at the forefront for quant investing and built a juggernaut.

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