Analyse technique Forex du 04/04/2017

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Chaque matin, l’équipe de Forex.fr vous propose l’analyse technique du jour pour les principaux cross du marché des changes pour la séance du 04/04/2017.

Pour mettre toutes les chances de votre côté, n‘oubliez pas de consulter nos graphiques Forex en temps réels.

Et surtout, n’oubliez pas de bien placer vos ordres! Bonne séance de trading à tous!

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Négocier la déclaration de politique monétaire de l’Australie

banque centrale_australie_forexVous cherchez un événement susceptible de créer des remous sur le dollar australien en particulier et le marché des changes en général Sachez que l’Australie fera demain 4 avril, sa déclaration de politique monétaire mensuelle. Pour vous aider à optimiser votre prise de position, voici notre habituel guide de trading.

Pourquoi la déclaration de taux de la RBA intéresse tant les traders forex ?
Amis novices du marché des changes, vous

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Weekly analysis- Elliott waves for Forex correlation analysis – Gold still to rise

Gold Weekly ReviewWave Analysis : During the previous trading week, Gold markets rose to the upper side, hit the highs of 1258.5 but ended up closing just a few pips above it’s weekly opening price. About three weeks ago, the corrective wave (b) traded short but could not go beyond 1204.70, we expect the upward rally that began a fortnight a go to be the unfolding of the impulsive wave (c) and should not go beyond 1396.94. A break above this level will push the price further to the upper side but should not go beyond 1500. This commodity should be traded alongside Silver, these two commodities have a strong positive correlation of up to +89% and will move in the same direction during this intraday.Trade Recommendation:Expect a possible bullish price movements towards 1396.94SPX500 Weekly ReviewWave Analysis: During the past trading week ending 31st March 2017, SPX500 traded on the higher ranges despite our expectation to rebound from our retracement level  2365.75. This commodity merely tested this level and is currently rallying slightly below it.  As long as this level protects any invasion to the upper side,we’re waiting for a clear rebound from this level to go short with an ideal target at 2279.67, a clear break above this level will push the price to the upper side but should not go beyond 2500.  This upward rally is supported by the fact that for almost a decade, SPX500 has been in an overall up trend and may continue long in the long run.Trade Recommendations:Wait for a clear rebound around 2367.75 to go short with an ideal target at 2279.67. A break above 2367.75 to go long with an ideal target at 2500.Oil Weekly Review Wave Analysis: Despite our expectations to continue short, the oil retraced a bit higher and even broke above our retracement level 52.024. As long as this commodity remains above this level, we expect a possible bullish momentum towards 57.001 or even higher. Thus, if you’re not long already, wait for a clear break above 57.01 to go long or a clear rebound from this level will push the price to the lower side.  Sell positions  may also been considered below 52.024. Crude oil should be traded alongside Canadian pairs. The value of most Canadian pairs are always determined by the price of oil.Trade Recommendations:Expect a possible bullish momentum towards 57.001 
https://freshforex.com/analitics/fresh-forecast/forex-correlation-and-Elliott-wave-analysis/week_2009.html?utm_source=rssfeed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rssnews&ff_mrk=rss&aff=64063

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Weekly analysis- Forex Fundamental Analysis – Bears are going to get gold

Forecast for the week April 3rd-7th: XAU/USD:This week gold is likely to get into the hands of bears. Quotes will drop because of gold and US dollar correlation. These two instruments have negative correlation, as traders increase volume of long positions on dollar, gold will have to give ground and drop. After 4-week downside correction, USDX index has finally closed previous week in green zone. USA continues to release positive reports allowing us to count on Fed rate hikes continuation.On the last day of March Federal Reserve Bank president W. Dudley stated that FED could reduce balance sheet later this year and take a pause in terms of rate raising. W. Dudley also emphasized that another two rate hikes will be reasonable. Considering all the above mentioned, we may conclude that FOMC could raise interest rates on June 14th and September 20th. Short-term market expectations concerning Fed policy are therefore bullish. Trading signals: Sell 1250/1264 and take profit 1231.Brent:This week setup is unclear. On the one hand, investors ignored negative US statistics on oil output increase and oil inventories historical high renewal. We saw strong oil contracts demand around psychological level of $50 per barrel, that allowed bulls to close the previous week with quotes rise by 5.1%. So we may assume that there are many buyers on market and they increase long positions volume during drops. Buyers enter the market because of rumors about OPEC extending oil output reduction agreement on summit (May 25th).On the other hand, as it was mentioned earlier greenback strengthening may be expected during the week, which will have negative impact on oil price. It is difficult to say what will have bigger influence OPEC summit or US dollar strengthening. Trading signals: flat at 52,00-54,00.S&P500:S&P500 futures closed previous week with quotes rise and is likely to repeat it this week too. There are two reasons of uptrend development. First of all, it is US public debt market dynamics. 10-year bonds yield has decreased over the last 3 trading weeks and now is 2.39%. To trigger massive shares sales we need at least 2.65% bonds yield. Shares could be sold at current yield if S&P500 renews historical high.Second of all, this week we expect positive ISM Non-Manufacturing and Manufacturing reports, and also Non-Farm that will have a positive impact on shares quotes. Positive reports may be expected due to strong CB consumer confidence report which on March reached the highest rate since December 2000. Trading signals: Buy 2360/2341 and take profit 2391.
https://freshforex.com/analitics/fresh-forecast/fa/week_2010.html?utm_source=rssfeed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rssnews&ff_mrk=rss&aff=64063

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Elliott waves for Forex correlation analysis – We still expect further momentum to the lowerside

USDJPY – Down Wave Analysis: For the past two weeks, on the weekly chart below, the US Dollar has been making lower lows and will likely trade on the lower ranges during this week. The anticipated downward rally is the continuation of the impulsive wave (c) but should not go beyond 101.303 from where we’ll be looking to go long. This downward rally is highly anticipated since the monthly candle for the previous month is a perfect bearish pin bar and will push the price further to the lower side. USDJPY Weekly Chart This pair should be traded alongside EURJPY, CADJPY and CHFJPY. These pairs will have a similar price action during this intraday. Trade Recommendation: During this month, expect a possible bearish momentum towards 101.303
You may check other analytical reviews on the web-site of FreshForex company. Source: freshforex.com.
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Elliott waves for Forex correlation analysis – Expect a possible mometum towards 1.2725

GBPUSD – Flat Wave Analysis: During the previous trading day, the cable rose slightly than expected and ended up above 1.2487, as long as the pair remains above this level we expect a possible bullish momentum to the upper side but should not go beyond 1.2725 from where we’ll be looking to pick sell orders. This buy position can only be validated in case the pair ends up breaking above the upper resistive trend line shown on the daily chart below. Unless there’s a clear break above this trend line, we choose to remain jittery about this upward rally. GBPUSD Daily Chart On the daily chart, wait for a break above the upper trend line to go long with ideal target at 1.2725. GBPUSD Weekly Chart On the weekly chart, wait for a clear rebound from 1.26832 to go short with the first target at 1.21 and the next target at 1.10. GBPUSD Monthly Chart On the monthly chart, there’re consolidations but bearish. Expect an exact opposite wave count in USDCHF, USDJPY and CADJPY. These pairs will move in opposite price action during this intraday. Trade Recommendations: Wait for a clear break above the resistive trend line shown on the daily chart to go long with an ideal target at 1.2725
You may check other analytical reviews on the web-site of FreshForex company. Source: freshforex.com.
https://freshforex.com/analitics/fresh-forecast/forex-correlation-and-Elliott-wave-analysis/issue_85573.html?utm_source=rssfeed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rssnews&ff_mrk=rss&aff=64063

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Trading forex : Nouvelle mise en garde émise par l’ACPR et l’AMF

AMF forex_2L’Autorités de Contrôle Prudentiel et de Résolution et l’Autorité des Marchés Financiers ont récemment publié une mise en garde contre les agissements de plusieurs sites internet et entités proposant des investissements sur le forex sans autorisation.

Parce qu’il en va de la sécurité de vos fonds, il est important de jeter un œil sur le nom des sociétés épinglées le 30 mars dernier par les autorités de régulation mentionnées ci-dessus et cela, afin

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Weekly analysis- Forex Technical Analysis: Trend potential – Weekly Review. S&P500, Brent, gold

S&P500 Monthly chart:bulls are giving ground considering the results of March closing. We already have upper Bollinger envelope breakout, so we may expect drop towards middle Bollinger band (2118.3)Weekly chart: upper Bollinger band (2427.6) is likely to be tested. From there we may consider selling to 2279.6 (middle Bollinger band)Daily chart: here we are observing flat area of 2339.6-2392.6 (Bollinger envelopes range). The price is not likely to leave this area during the week.Expectations:Core scenario – flat at 2339.6-2392.6Alternative scenario – shot to 2427.6 followed by drop.Trading signals: look for entry points to the downside at resistance levels of 2392.6 and 2427.6BrentMonthly chart: the price keeps walking on middle Bollinger band (48.79) inside of broad flat corridor of 34.97-62.61.Weekly chart: there is more narrow flat corridor of 46.57-60.92 (Bollinger envelopes range). ADX shows weak trend, so the price is not likely to leave flat soon.Daily chart: there is a strong resistance level at 56.06 (upper Bollinger band). Bulls are pushing ADX up but from the technical point of view this level is likely to have high bearish oil supply.Expectations: rise to 56.06 followed by great drop.Trading signals:1. Consider buying to 56.062. Consider selling from 56.06GoldMonthly chart: the price keeps rotating around middle Bollinger band (1204.58). ADX shows correction and no trend.Weekly chart: there is a strong resistance level in upper Bollinger band region (1287.97). However, considering ADX pressure there is a chance of touching 1338.00 area (see purple arrow)Daily chart: here ADX shows very weak trend, so there is a question if bulls will be able to climb higher than 1266.46 (upper Bollinger band). There is a flat area of 1194.55-1266.46.Expectations:Core scenario – we expect the price to touch 1266.46 and then drop to 1230.20 areaAlternative scenario – shot to 1298.00Trading signals:1. Consider buying to 1266.462. Consider selling from 1266.46 (in case of short-signals in this area)
https://freshforex.com/analitics/fresh-forecast/potencial/week_2008.html?utm_source=rssfeed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rssnews&ff_mrk=rss&aff=64063

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Forex Technical Analysis: Trend potential – Trading Range – 110.42-111.71

USDJPY – DownDaily chart: the pair showed weakness around middle Bollinger band (112.54) and ensured new drop to 109.78 (lower Bollinger band). Н4: here support level is on lower Bollinger band (110.42), in this area we may also see bullish Over&Under pattern Н1: resistance level is at 111.71, support level is at 111.14 (middle and lower Bollinger bands). It is better to consider selling from 111.71 to 110.42 with possible rollover of open positions. Expectations: we expect the pair to touch 111.71 and then drop to 111.13 or lower towards 110.42. Trading signals: consider selling from 111.71 to 111.13 and 110.42
You may check other analytical reviews on the web-site of FreshForex company. Source: freshforex.com.
https://freshforex.com/analitics/fresh-forecast/potencial/issue_85565.html?utm_source=rssfeed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rssnews&ff_mrk=rss&aff=64063

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Forex Technical Analysis: Trend potential – Shot to 1.2700 Possibility

GBPUSD – FlatDaily chart: ADX shows active trend, so we may expect upper Bollinger envelope breakout (resistance at 1.2634) Н4: here resistance level is at 1.2556 (upper Bollinger band). ADX is growing but not trending yet, so there may be possibility of rollback to 1.2464 region (middle Bollinger band). Н1: here we are observing a very strong bullish pressure that is likely to ensure shot to 1.2615 (in case of 1.2556 breakout). Considering daily chart setup we may even see rise to 1.27. Expectations: Core scenario – shot to 1.27 Alternative scenario – touch of 1.2556 followed by drop to 1.2494. Trading signals: consider buying towards 1.2700 (by 1.2556 breakout)
You may check other analytical reviews on the web-site of FreshForex company. Source: freshforex.com.
https://freshforex.com/analitics/fresh-forecast/potencial/issue_85564.html?utm_source=rssfeed&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=rssnews&ff_mrk=rss&aff=64063

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